Trump Says Odds of Iran Deal or Military Action Are ‘50-50,’ Decision Could Come Sunday
Summary
- President Donald Trump said the chances of a deal with Iran and the possibility of military action are "50-50."
- Markets are watching whether the outcome of negotiations between the US and Iran will affect global financial market volatility, including oil prices and dollar flows.
- A final agreement remains uncertain as differences over the nuclear program and sanctions relief continue.
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President Donald Trump said the odds of reaching a deal with Iran or taking military action are “50-50,” as markets track the direction of US-Iran negotiations.
Walter Bloomberg reported on May 23 that Trump, referring to Iran’s latest proposal, said the US could either “reach a good deal” or pursue stronger military action. He put the odds at “50-50.”
Trump said he was scheduled to meet with aides and envoys later that day and could make a decision as early as Sunday. The US and Iran have recently continued talks covering an extension of the ceasefire and sanctions relief.
The report said a proposal under discussion includes a plan to end hostilities through 30 days of additional negotiations. The US is seeking limits on uranium enrichment and steps to address Iran’s stockpile of nuclear material.
Iran, however, has maintained that detailed discussions of the nuclear issue are not part of the initial negotiating framework. Iranian officials previously said uranium enrichment and the Strait of Hormuz remain key issues.
Markets are watching whether the outcome of US-Iran talks will drive volatility across global financial markets, including oil prices and the dollar. A final agreement remains uncertain as differences persist over the nuclear program and sanctions relief.



