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Bitcoin Price A to Z First time surpassing 90,000 KRW Powell "No need for rate cuts" remarks Market "Only a short-term adjustment" Some "Could reach 100,000 KRW within the year" After Donald Trump was elected as the President in the U.S. election, the price of Bitcoin, which had been on a downward trend, is now rising. Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that "there is no need for rate cuts," which acted as a negative factor. Before the election, Bitcoin, which had been fluctuating around 70,000 KRW, surpassed 90,000 KRW for the first time on the 13th in Korean time. On the 14th, it even reached up to 93,000 KRW at one point, raising expectations for a rise to 100,000 KRW within the year. This upward trend is analyzed as being influenced by the election of Trump, who promised a pro-Bitcoin policy. The expectation that Trump would deregulate virtual assets in the U.S. also contributed. Previously, Trump had expressed his intention to make all Bitcoins tradable in the U.S. by recognizing them as national strategic assets. He also appointed Elon Musk, known as a supporter of Bitcoin and Dogecoin, as the CEO of the newly established 'Government Efficiency Committee (DOGE)'. The atmosphere changed on the 14th when Powell attended a Fed event in Texas and said, "There is no indication that the U.S. economy needs rate cuts," which was contrary to some expectations. At that time, the market expected the Fed to cut rates in December following a base rate cut in November. This led to a surge in Bitcoin prices. CoinDesk, a cryptocurrency media outlet, commented that "Powell's remarks have dampened expectations for rate cuts" and predicted that "the idea of a rate cut in December may not be as certain as thought." Bitcoin prices fell to 87,000 KRW as of the afternoon of the 15th in Korean time. However, there are many predictions in the market that "even if Bitcoin undergoes a short-term adjustment, it will continue to rise until the end of the year." Jeff Kendrick, an analyst at Standard Chartered Bank, said, "Bitcoin could rise to 100,000 KRW by the end of the year, and there is a possibility of reaching up to 125,000 KRW."

Cryptocurrency Collapse A to Z First time surpassing 90,000 KRW Powell "No need for rate cuts" remarks Market experts "Only a short-term adjustment" Some "Will reach 100,000 KRW within the year" After Donald Trump was elected as the U.S. President, Bitcoin prices have been on the rise. Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that "there is no need for rate cuts," which had a negative impact on the market. Before the election, Bitcoin, which was fluctuating around 70,000 dollars, surpassed 90,000 dollars for the first time on the 13th in Korean time. On the 14th, it even reached up to 93,000 dollars, raising expectations for a year-end rally to 100,000 dollars. This upward trend is analyzed as an effect of Trump's election, who promised a pro-cryptocurrency policy. The expectation that Trump's election would lead to deregulation of virtual assets in the U.S. has grown. Previously, during the Trump administration, there was a notion to treat Bitcoin as a national strategic asset and ensure all cryptocurrencies are mined in the U.S. He also appointed Mark Tesla, known as a supporter of Bitcoin and Dogecoin, as the CEO of the newly established 'Government Efficiency Committee (DOGE)'. The atmosphere shifted on the 14th when Powell attended a Fed event in Texas and stated, "There is no signal that the U.S. economy needs rate cuts," which negatively affected the market. Initially, the market expected the Fed to lower the base rate in November and continue to cut in December. This led to a surge in Bitcoin prices. CoinDesk, a cryptocurrency specialist media, stated, "Powell's remarks have dashed hopes for a rate cut," and predicted that "the idea of a December rate cut is not as certain as it was thought." Bitcoin prices fell to 87,000 dollars by the afternoon of the 15th in Korean time. However, in the market, there are many predictions that "even if Bitcoin undergoes a short-term adjustment, it will continue to rise until the end of the year." Jeff Kendrick, an analyst at Standard Chartered Bank, said, "Bitcoin could rally to 100,000 dollars by the end of the year, and there is enough potential to reach up to 125,000 dollars."

There is an analysis that Ethereum (ETH) is slowly dying while facing a technical breakdown situation. According to Cointelegraph on the 16th (local time), Arthur Demister, founder of Adamant Capital, said, "Ethereum is dying a slow death," citing the decline in the ETH/BTC ratio as the reason. The ETH/BTC ratio is a chart that shows how much ETH can be bought with 1 BTC, comparing the price of Ethereum to Bitcoin. The ETH/BTC ratio has been continuously declining recently. The decline in this chart is interpreted as an increase in preference for Bitcoin. In other words, it means that the capital inflow into Ethereum is decreasing. The media explained, "If the ETH/BTC ratio falls to 0.017BTC, the price of Ethereum could drop by about 50%%." Furthermore, Ethereum's market dominance is recording its lowest level since April 2021, and Ethereum's position is continuously shaking. However, recently, Ethereum showed a rapid rise, surpassing the $3,000 line and succeeding in a rally like a mockery. On this day, Ethereum is being traded at the $3,100 level, up 2.6%% compared to the previous day in the Binance Tether (USDT) market.

CryptoQuant analyst Mac_D analyzed that "the US Bitcoin Spot ETF accounts for 5.33%% of the total BTC supply." He stated, "The BTC Spot ETF held 6.29 million BTC last January, but the current holdings have increased by 4.25 million BTC to 10.54 million BTC. This is 5.33%% of the total BTC issued volume. If the US strategically selects BTC as a reserve asset in the future, the volume entering through the Spot ETF is likely to increase further. As the holdings of the BTC Spot ETF increase, the price is also expected to strengthen."

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Ethereum saw a significant increase in activity on the on-chain last week. According to the on-chain analysis platform IntoTheBlock, over 1 billion dollars worth of Ether (ETH) was withdrawn from exchange addresses last week. NewsBTC reported on the 17th (local time) that investors are choosing a strategy to hold Ethereum, as indicated by the exchange withdrawals. The last time such a large-scale Ethereum withdrawal was targeted was in May 2023. Large Ethereum withdrawals suggest that traders are moving their holdings to personal wallets, anticipating higher prices. 1 Billion Dollar Ethereum Withdrawals from Exchange Market According to IntoTheBlock's data, a total of 59,240 ETH was recorded as net outflow in the last 24 hours. This is part of a larger weekly trend, with IntoTheBlock emphasizing that the weekly exchange net outflow of this Ethereum reached 1 billion dollars through the social media platform X. Bitcoin (BTC) also showed a similar trend, recording a weekly net outflow of 1 billion dollars, similar to Ethereum. This indicates growing expectations for a price increase in the volatile market. What's Next for Ethereum? Ethereum experienced a significant drop after reaching 3,420 dollars on November 12th. Especially as Ethereum tokens were deposited into exchanges, it dropped to 3,018 dollars. Despite an 11%% drop, Ethereum's price is maintaining the 3,000-dollar support line. This drop is seen as providing investors with more opportunities to purchase Ethereum. Currently, with a firm 3,000-dollar support line, experts expect Ethereum's price to start a new upward trend this week. The current price movement shows a pattern where Ethereum can swing both ways. If this pattern turns upward, Ethereum could test the 3,400-dollar resistance line again. Conversely, if it turns downward, the price could drop to the 2,810-dollar support area.

(New York=Yonhap News) Im Haram, Yonhap Infomax Special Correspondent = This week (November 18~November 22), investors in the New York stock market are expected to focus on the interest rate outlook of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed·연준). The strong rally in the New York stock market triggered by Donald Trump's election as U.S. president did not last long. Last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.24%%. The S&P 500 index fell by 2.08%% for the week. The Nasdaq index dropped by 3.15%% for the week. The New York stock market, which welcomed Trump's election as friendly due to expectations of uncertainty reduction, has cooled down internally. The Trump administration has begun appointing key personnel for each department. As the expectations for 'Trump 2.0' fade, investors are searching for stability and examining whether the new economic conditions will be favorable to the stock market. The Trump administration's policies on taxes and immigration could reignite inflation. Also, the Trump administration's policies could change the economic outlook in a different direction than expected. What investors are most curious about is how the new economic outlook might affect the Fed's interest rate path. The Fed has already entered the path of interest rate hikes, and if disinflation continues, it is expected to steadily raise rates. However, the Fed's strategy in the Trump era is complex. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the Fed does not need to rush to raise the base rate. He attended an event in Texas and stated, "There is no signal that the U.S. economy needs a rate hike," he said. Other Fed members also agreed with this view. In an interview with a foreign media outlet, Austin Goolsbee, president of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, known as a representative 'dove' (a pro-communication advocate) within the Fed, said, "In the next 12 to 18 months, we will proceed towards our inflation target of 2%%, and the rate will be much lower than the current level," while also stating that there is no need to rush to lower the rate to that level. Susan Collins, president of the Boston Fed, said in an interview with a foreign media outlet that she does not rule out the possibility of a rate hike at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, but it is not confirmed. According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed raising rates at the December FOMC meeting is almost 40%%. If the Fed's rate hike path becomes more uncertain, the market is expected to experience significant disappointment. High interest rates are a negative factor for the stock market. The New York stock market has already seen a strong rally in anticipation of the Fed's rate hike. If the rate path is readjusted, U.S. bond rates could rise even higher than the current level. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has already risen to 4.44%%. Investors are expected to scrutinize the Fed's rate hike speed more closely due to the statements of Fed officials scheduled for this week. On the other hand, this week, Nvidia will announce its earnings. There is anticipation whether Nvidia's performance will once again trigger an artificial intelligence (AI) rally. Additionally, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which can gauge the manufacturing and service industry conditions in the U.S., will be released. Regional Federal Reserve Banks will announce manufacturing indices, consumer sentiment indices, economic activity indices, housing price indices, etc.
![[New York Stock Market-Weekly Outlook] The 'Trump Rally' Ends Quickly...The Focus is on the Fed](/images/default_image.webp)
Solana (SOL) has surpassed the $225 resistance line, reaching a new high. Solana is currently trading at around $235, which is approximately 10%% below its all-time high (ATH). According to NewsBTC on the 17th (local time), experts suggest that SOL's next target is set at $250, predicting that a successful breakout could lead to a new ATH. Will SOL Enter a New Price Discovery Phase? Analyst Ali Martinez described this upward trend as the 'beginning of a bull market,' indicating that SOL's strong price movement has the potential to reach a new ATH. He stated, "If SOL breaks through $250, the bull rally could continue, potentially triggering a new record as investors increase buying pressure."

Taiko (TAIKO), a Layer 2 project on Ethereum, participated in various panels and activities at the Ethereum Developer Conference Devcon held this week, showcasing its presence. This participation included a wide range of technical discussions and community-building activities. Taiko announced its activities at Devcon through its official Twitter. Below is the 'Taiko Devcon Summary' that outlines the main activities of the Taiko team during the Devcon period. CTO Brecht Devos presents on 'Preconfirmation' and 'Based Rollup' topics Brecht Devos, Taiko CTO and co-founder, attended the Primev pre-event during the Devcon period. Brecht Devos CTO emphasized the potential of Based Rollup and Preconfirmation, focusing on discussions to improve the Ethereum user experience. He also introduced the use case of the platform Gwyneth utilizing 'Based Preconfirmations'. Later, he participated in a panel discussion on Synchronous Composability. Additionally, Devos CTO participated in the 'Blockspace and Commitments Day' event, attending a panel on 'Based Preconfs & Sequencing'. Here, he shared insights on the start and future of Based Rollups. He also attended the 'Preconfirm: The Next Gen Ethereum UX' event, participating in a panel on 'Based Sequencing', discussing related technologies and future prospects. Vitalik Buterin visits Taiko booth... Anticipation for Ethereum's future with Based Rollup The Taiko booth, set up at the Devcon venue, also attracted significant attention. Ben, Taiko's community director, shared stories with Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin and attendees, discussing the expansion of Based Rollup and Taiko. Vitalik Buterin, who appeared as the first block proposer of the protocol called Taiko, also received attention. He stated, "Taiko has a fully compatible point with EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) and a mutually complementary design with Ethereum mainnet, offering an improved version compared to existing Layer 2." "Focus on preserving Ethereum's intrinsic value" Need to consider DeFi and game utilization Nicky Cholabi, Taiko's DeFi director, participated in the 'Rollup Day' panel titled 'DeFi Renaissance – Can We Make It Great Again?' explaining Taiko's efforts to build a robust DeFi environment. Nicky stated, "We are focusing on re-enhancing the value of Ethereum," adding, "We need to think about how diverse on-chain activities, including DeFi, can contribute to the ecosystem, not just increase simple numbers." On the other hand, Pergiocomo Palmisani, Taiko's game department director, said, "Games are one of the main ways to attract early users," adding, "We need to continuously bring quality games on-chain to attract general users." Taiko is also working on DeFi and game pie dApp launches within the network through collaboration with various partners. Taiko developers, expand Ethereum and roll out innovations At this Devcon, Taiko engineers also presented various sessions on Ethereum expansion and rollup technology innovations. Taiko solution engineer Sinha Swarnabha gave a presentation titled 'Based Rollups: The Real Extension of Ethereum'. Taiko ZK engineer Cecilia Zhang also presented on 'Based Rollups'. She participated in a panel discussion titled 'Are Based Rollups the Solution to Ethereum’s Long-Term Value Capture?', discussing the necessity of rollup technology for long-term value capture.

CryptoQuant CEO Ju Ki-young has adjusted the upper price target for Bitcoin in 2024 to $13,500. In his analysis last February, he had set the 2024 Bitcoin target at an upper limit of $11,200. Ju Ki-young stated that such forecasts are based on the influx of capital into the market through ETFs and other financial products. However, he emphasized the point that this outlook is based on the "current standard," leaving room for potential changes. He also advised investors that the "current spot market is in an over-leveraged state," suggesting caution regarding short-term volatility. Ju predicted that the leverage in the Bitcoin-Tether (USDT) spot market is more than 2.7 times higher compared to early 2024. Such excessive leverage could exert downward pressure on Bitcoin prices in the event of large-scale liquidation, potentially triggering a significant price drop. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Percival, noted that when Bitcoin prices reached $9,000, some long-term holders realized profits. However, he pointed out that it is difficult to see all long-term holders selling at this price level. Percival predicted that many long-term holders are likely to wait for higher price levels before selling.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reported that "since 2023, Ripple (XRP) withdrawals from Binance have been consistently significant, with the largest transaction in history occurring in October, exceeding 1 million dollars. The XRP withdrawals from the exchange are also linked to the recent price recovery," he analyzed. He further added, "The large-scale withdrawals from the exchange indicate that XRP investors are opting for long-term holding rather than cashing out," he noted. According to CoinMarketCap, XRP is trading at 1.06 dollars, down 7.08%%, and currently ranks 6th in total market capitalization.
